February 15th, 2011
04:04 AM GMT
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Israel and Egypt have benefited from a peace treaty for more than 30 years; however, the current uncertainty over Egypt’s political future has many wondering whether this peace will hold.

Who will succeed Hosni Mubarak? What role will the Muslim Brotherhood play in the country's future? Will democracy and free media take hold in the most populous of Arab countries? And will economic and business factors provide the glue to stop the fabric from splitting apart?

Economic ties between Egypt and Israel are limited but not nonexistent. For example, Israeli-owned textile factories employ thousands of Egyptians. They operate under the Qualifying Industrial Zones, a U.S. initiative that rewards ongoing business and trade relationships such as those in the textile industry.

More than 40% of Israel's natural gas needs are met through the gas pipelines across the northern Sinai. Can economic and trade ties in this fragile region help cement ongoing peace? Tell us your thoughts!

soundoff (19 Responses)
  1. Bassel

    I don't think economic ties are going to cement the peace between both countries. It is people's desire on both sides to live in peace and avoid the economic destruction and social disruption that war brings that will uphold the peace treaty. No body wants their kids to grow up in a war torn country. Egyptians have gotten a good taste of peace and will not give it up at any price unless it is a must to preserve their land.

    February 15, 2011 at 7:50 am |
  2. maxlaw

    Muslim Brotherhood 5%- 10% only

    February 15, 2011 at 7:55 am |
  3. Moataza Saad

    Egypt has no desire to go to war with Israel. I am sure that the peace treaty would hold even if the Muslim Brotherhood, against all the odds, given its limited popularity, came to power. The only difference that a democratic government in Egypt will make is that relations with Israel will begin to take Egyptian interests into account, and not be dictated to from israel as was the case under Mubarak.
    Therefore, for example. I expect that gas will be sold to Israel at market price, rather than at prices subsidised by the Egyptian tax payer.

    February 15, 2011 at 8:01 am |
  4. Omar Khalifa

    Thinking in the short term, I think the treaty will be amended or renegotiated, but definitely there's no definate answer till we see what happens in September elections, the Muslim Brotherhood might not seek power but might have the ability to affect foreign relations. Long term, I think the treaty will not last, and that's not because of the possibility that extremists will take over, but you can see liberals also who are against the Israeli occupation and injustice towards the Palestinians, and its sad to see the whole world seeking to charge Mubarak and other Egyptian officials with crimes, while neglecting what we usually see every day for the pst 60 years.

    February 15, 2011 at 8:02 am |
  5. Don Leus

    If the Israeli government agrees to the implementation of UN security council resolution no. 242 without any preconditions, peace will not only hold between Egypt and Israel but also between Israel and the entire middle east region. And the whole world will sigh a big relief! (whew)

    February 15, 2011 at 8:26 am |
  6. Andrew

    It is quite likely the region will enter a new pan arab war against Isreal – led by Islamicist governements, terrorists, Iran, Hezzbollah, the Muslmi Brotherhood, with the large stockpile of arms sold to the region, but as yet not used.

    On the one hand freedom for Arabs is good, on the othe rhand the PROPAGANDA spewed against Jews, Isreal and the US that has little to do with self determination of Arab democracies, will from opinions hardened for long term unbleievable Racist and Anti-Semetic rants continuall through Arab press and "educational" system will result in a Lose Lose situation for Israel.

    With the contrast of ALL the empty lands in Arab nations throughout the region, Israel is continually pressed to relinquish what little land there is for a Jewsih homeland. And so far to little avail to help establish a durable and ?popular supported peace.

    At every turn, Arabs try to incite, to shoot rockets, to kill via suicide jihadist acts of self immolating violence, claiming to be victims of Israeli repression, when their own Arabs reject the Palestinians even more – at least the Arab governments.

    If a fraction of monies dollars – billions, had gone to resettlement of the Palestinians in any of the vast open spaces in any Arab lands, building cities and civil infrastructures, roads, water, housing, all the accoutrements of a civilized life, then the inflated claims of Palestinian "victims" would be show to be what they are – stupid.

    The mindset of many Arabs is to claim that much of their own society's problems are all traced to the Jews, and Israel, and this is the biggest Canard on record in history. The Arabs seem in fact to be their own worst enemy, their leaders are amongst the most corrupt and duplicitous – Mubarak accumulated near $30b in his own pockets all in the "service" of to Egypt and Egyptians – largely via corrupt business practices from him and his family. Yasir Arafat came close with his $8b in family fortune, taking money donated to help the Palestinians – the people, and taken as his own personal funds.

    All or most of these funds if it had gone back into the economies of the people ruled by these idiots might have made a real difference.

    Arabs are not fools, exxcept for when propaganda is incessantly repeated as (false) truths in their society.

    The most egregious aspect to this, is despite how poorly their leaders rule, and how unfair their society and religion is to non Arabs – non Muslims, Muslims round the world are doing an immigration invasion to the west and demanding equal rights they do not bestow upon non Muslims – neither Jews nor Christians nor Hindus etc in their own Arab lands.

    This coupled to incessant public demeaning and racist rants in their own public Arabic press about Jews, Christians etc, and all kinds of chicanery – seizure, expulsion, jailing and murders, renders the calls for fairness by Arabs round the world as hypocritical as one could possibly ever imagine.

    If Arab nations were even a fraction of welcoming that Israel or any Western nation are to Arabs – then this would be reasonable. Given all the persecution in many Arab lands of anything non Muslim, the arabs in the western world claiming all kinds of victimhood for the Palestinians, need psychiatric counselling. Fair is fair, and Arabs need to think inward and realize to be part of the worlds community needs equitable values, needs fairness from within before you rant incessantly about your own victimhood at the hands of others.

    Muslims seem to think they are some special exclusionary cult, that to survive they need to destroy others.

    The west outside of Isreal hardly comprehends the cultural invasion ongoing as to how the West become Islamicized in time, and eventually taken over in many decades from now. A childbirth and immigration issue, that as Isreal sees it , he scale of this in the west will creep up till it will be unable to be ignored.

    Personally I have no problems with Arabs nor Muslims until they rant against Israel, until they balme the Jews and Christians for all their ills. But the facts speak differently, Arab leaders have merely reflected how Arabs treat themselves, often poorly often unfairly, often so corrupt as to had this been done in the West, the leaders and civilians woudl have been jailed for many years. Ignore this corruption and anti western propaganda, ignore the anti-semitism at your own peril.

    Freedom is good, BUT it must be accompanied by acceptance of others in a manner you yourselves demand in the west, to be given to others in your own ( presently corrupt ) lands you have ruled so unfairly and so poorly.

    Hope for the best regardng peace between Arabia and Israel, but reality indicates the region is possibly up for another larger war. It will likely come from major rearming of Gaza and Hamas, with larger more potent weaponry enabled by the new interim Egyptian government, or after elections that will be dominated by the Islamicist Muslim Brotherhood, the guys who assassinated Sadaat ( they surely are peaceful ??? )

    The democracy movement in Egypt is an improvement for Arabs and Egyptians, but for the fact that there is such corruption and deception in their governments and businesses and racism and anti western behaviour. I hope they get their house in order, but once the Muslim Brotherhood gets their hands on the levers of government, you can bet it will only be time that Israel is facing a massive war – with its opponents armed by US and Russia and Iran. It possibly might be existential, it might be really ugly.

    When I keep hearing all kinds of deceptive crap about how the Muslim Brotherhood does not wish for an Islamicist state, the steam coming off the fresh doo doo is overwhelming.

    I wish Arabs could not be at war with Israel, it is a tiny land, the only hoe for the Jews, but hotly contested as if the Jews are undeserving of any homeland. All the lies about Israel perpetrating injustices against Arabs and Palestinians are greatly exagggerated, as Palestinians and Hamas, and Hezzbollah and others have regularly tried to incite Israel to return formce against suicide bombings, aginst incessant rocket attacks and so on, like Israel caused the violence.

    Israel does what it does, imperfectly as we might judge, because Arab fools insist on denying Israels right to exist, Israelis right to live.

    It is paradoxical for all the problems the Arabs claim caused by Israel, that long ago Israel was a bunch of swamps and desert regions – unarable ( ironic ) incapable of agraculture of near any kind under the hands of the Palestinians. Ironic...

    Israelis are so industrious – productive and collaborative, that given a patch of land with some water from the Nile they could turn it into amazing productive farmland, that Eqyptians seem to neglect doing to reverse the sands of tearful times.

    Oh I wish for durable peace, I wish for a bugeoning Arab Israeli economy, I wish that the impoverished Arab street, victimized by their own leaders, their own people might find success and happiness, and acceptance of the west and turn back their own societies overt blatant racism, entisemitism, anti christian violent ideology. I hope for peace, I hope and wish the Palestinians might be accepted and assimilated into Arab lands and the Jews Israelis and Zionists might find peace from their (presently) crazy neighbors.

    If there was peace, if the Arabs were properly resettled without the false claims of victimhood at the purported hands of others ( Arafat and Mubarak were theives from their own people, not leaders but theives ) then we might all have a chance ..... I pray but common sense and fairness seem lacking, seem mia.

    Israel has no reason to given back any lands, the arabs in the region need to assimilate Palestinians, and settlements funded by Israel and wealthy ARAB Oil states need to bring homes and cities to their own impoverished Palestinians in some region of Egypt or Arabia.

    February 15, 2011 at 8:39 am |
  7. Themba

    I donth think the piece treaty will be respected at all unless Israel gives back the occupied territories. If Israel want to play a role in the middle east, it has to abandon its policy of interference.

    February 15, 2011 at 8:46 am |
  8. Jae Won


    February 15, 2011 at 8:55 am |
  9. ebede

    the peace must continue irrespective of the chaos in Egypt. that was a struggle for freedom

    February 15, 2011 at 10:11 am |
  10. PJC

    Yes peace wil hold neither Israel or Egypt can afford it not to. This 30 year peace has been benefitial for both countries so what would be the reson for it to be broken? Egypt is still in turmoil for the foreseable future it gaining an enemy such as israel is something that would hinder its development politicaly and economically. If the Egyptian freedom fighters who ousted Mubarak will really think of the regular Egyptians in the streets of Cairo there would be no reason why this peace will not hold.

    February 15, 2011 at 10:25 am |
  11. Peace-not-Surrender

    So called peace did not bring stability and prosperity to Egypt, tyrants such as Sadat and later Moubarak used it to subjecate their people and suck their wealth away (now hidden in the West), and to cling to power. And threaten the west that democrizing the scoiety will bring someone who is against Israel. Of course, the West accepted this theory and supported and continue to support various dictators in the region. Abolishing the unjust peace treaty does not mean the Arabs and Israelies will be in a state of war. It means, Israel will have a better incentive to reach to a just peace treatment with its Arab neighbours without using big brother (USA) to twist arms and bribe leaders with a leader-for-life position (AKA Mahmoud Abbass).

    February 15, 2011 at 10:34 am |
  12. Rajgad

    If Muslim Brotherhood co-operates with the military and gells with other political parties and accepts the reality of Israel, it would be a win-win situation. On the other hand if it thinks and acts like Ahmedinajad's Iran, armagaddon is inevitable.

    February 15, 2011 at 11:27 am |
  13. fanta

    I HOPE so...NO good would come from ANYTHING else !

    February 15, 2011 at 11:33 am |
  14. narmar

    i think as most of the Egyptians that peace with Israel is natural-thing

    February 15, 2011 at 1:38 pm |
  15. Padraig

    If Egypt is not willing to maintain the peace treaty with Israel, it must realize that the "new" status quo will return Sinai to Israel, as well as ALL other lands Israel conquered in its wars. That means Israel will not have to agree to ANY return of land to ANY Arab groups, and that includes returning land to the Palestinians.

    Thus, if Egypt doesn't maintain the peace treaty, Gaza and the West Bank must be legally recognized by the international community as being Israeli territory, as will Sinai. This can NEVER be up for discussion or negotiation.

    As to the Palestinians, they will have 2 choices: Accept the jurisdiction of Israel and live peacefully in the State of Israel, or move to Jordan, Syria, Lebanon, Egypt (but not Sinai!), or wherever. Furthermore, they must abandon ANY hope of EVER having a Palestinian State.

    One must always remember that revolutions don't always go the way the revolutionaries might wish, after all. So, the Palestinians better encourage their Egyptian and Jordanian brothers to be sure and maintain the current status quo. If not, we all MUST go back to 1967 and 1973, when Israel obliterated their opponents. Israel will then again have control over the peace process, and the Arabs won't have any say in whatever Israel suggests.

    If things come to this point, Israel should offer to surrender Sinai to the Palestinians for their state (something they should have done in both 1967 or 1973) and any Arabs who choose to remain in Israel (and that includes ALL territory in the West Bank and Gaza) will have to swear allegiance to the Jewish State. If they don't choose to do this, they must leave Israel and NEVER attempt to reclaim what has been internationally acknowledged as legitimate Israeli territory.

    The moral of the story? "Be careful what you wish for..."

    It's really very, very simple, if you look at it logically, isn't it?

    February 18, 2011 at 10:45 pm |
  16. Karim

    Reply to Andrew

    It is true, it will be much cheaper, and more prudent to ethnically cleanse historical Palestine of all Palestinians, and build an artificial Palestine island off the coast of Lebanon for example, and move all Palestinians there. Likewise, why not save us all the hassle, and instead build an artificial Israel off the coast of Palestine, and move all Jews there?

    It is easy to say that Arabs are hording mass territories and not allowing Palestinians in when one is blinded by the facts of what ethnic cleansing is, maybe this is how Israelis are convincing themselves that the ethnic cleansing they carry out against Palestinians is legal.

    February 19, 2011 at 10:10 am |
  17. Karim

    What Egypt has signed with Israel cannot be construed as a peace treaty, it is more like a seize fire that evolved into a stalemate.

    It is a comfy deal the Egyptian ruling party got with the US where they get billions of dollars in arm aid, subsidized wheat, while giving Israel almost free gas, and Israel got a safe southern border, demobilized entire fighting units, and went on saving the money and modernizing its economy. It does not take rocket science to see that the Egyptians got the shorter stick here.

    What I hope will happen, is that a newly elected Egyptian government to abrogate the Camp David Accord, and force the US and Israel to sign a more meaningful peace treaty that addresses Palestinian legitimate aspirations for statehood within the UN identified borders of 1967. That will be a peace treaty, anything else will be procrastination.

    February 19, 2011 at 10:17 am |
  18. icon designs

    Interesting variant

    September 29, 2012 at 11:17 am |
  19. icons design

    As it is curious.. :)

    October 10, 2012 at 12:23 am |

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